Gleeful-Consistency-Cable
0xf779603493e8aa3d5775f7af367ba3a2c766f365
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-376.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
1555 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-326.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$334.34Jul 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$2.48Jul 5, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$101.83Jul 5, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$434.87Jun 30, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$203.28Jun 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$20.55Jun 27, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$20.53Jun 27, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$244.66Jun 27, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$143.84Jun 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$143.70Jun 25, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$192.92Jun 25, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$193.12Jun 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$82.52Jun 22, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$82.68Jun 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$44.49Jun 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.35Jun 10, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.35Jun 10, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMVictor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5$5.10Jun 9, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYVictor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5$5.00Jun 9, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $102.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.