Fluid-Impulse
0xf779722591809ff6fa189db4e1cd7881a9b513d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$109.95
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 30?
6438 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 16.5
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Kevin Huerter: Assists O/U 2.5
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 10.5
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 4.5
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?
1275 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$18.26Feb 28, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$29.22Feb 28, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$25.57Feb 28, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$0.00Feb 9, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?$0.00Feb 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$18.41Feb 9, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?$7.50Feb 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$10.00Feb 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$12.50Feb 6, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?$14.50Feb 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5$3.00Feb 6, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$19.99Feb 5, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?$7.49Feb 5, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LaMelo Ball be traded this season?$4.00Feb 5, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Feb 5, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$54.78Feb 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.11Feb 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$13.00Feb 5, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.