Quick-Insect
0xf77e867600ec62f2af250c9537af744bcb2ec64d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$8.54
Total PnL
$-95.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.54
$-1.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
452 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
231 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$11.43May 4, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 22?$0.00Mar 29, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12PM ET$3.00Feb 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$6.00Feb 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2PM ET$7.00Feb 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$4.00Feb 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12PM ET$2.00Feb 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 11, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 7?$38.87Feb 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$8.00Feb 7, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 7?$10.00Feb 7, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 7?$15.00Feb 7, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$10.00Feb 7, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 3?$9.30Feb 3, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 3?$9.76Feb 3, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3AM ET$11.11Feb 3, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET$4.00Feb 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 3?$3.00Feb 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 3?$3.00Feb 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 3?$3.00Feb 3, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.