Runny-Break
0xf78561659eb6593de9babddfe31bd7f9c41380f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$64.62
Total PnL
$-420.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.49
$3.49
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.50
$-16.50
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.95
$0.95
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 45.0¢·now 69.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.93
$3.53
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-11.25
- CANUCKS
Canucks vs. Sabres
200 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- HURRICANES
Hurricanes vs. Wild
190 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-110.20
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
118 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.32
- ABU DHABI KNIGHT RIDERS
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1)
80 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-38.40
- FELIX AUGER-ALIASSIME
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmane
51 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$16.00May 29, 07:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$34.00May 23, 09:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Avalanche$50.00May 21, 03:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $22.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".