Fearful-Event
0xf7882f54f2ad34acaf18643a70560d49a4175b78
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?
160 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Michigan town hall?
140 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-15.60
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart beat Real Madrid?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during his Michigan town hall?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Kamala lead by over 2.5 or more points on September 20?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "artificial intelligence" during her Wisconsin rally?
69 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-7.62
- YES
Will AC Milan vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "artificial intelligence" during her Wisconsin rally?$7.62Sep 18, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City beat Inter Milan?$104.00Sep 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead by over 2.5 or more points on September 20?$18.00Sep 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "insane asylum" during his Michigan town hall?$46.48Sep 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$83.14Sep 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Michigan town hall?$5.22Sep 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Michigan town hall?$1.98Sep 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Uniondale rally?$7.20Sep 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "insane asylum" during his Michigan town hall?$13.81Sep 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "insane asylum" during his Michigan town hall?$1.63Sep 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Uniondale rally?$4.64Sep 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Uniondale rally?$10.80Sep 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$0.93Sep 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$5.30Sep 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$10.77Sep 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Uniondale rally?$17.00Sep 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$27.16Sep 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Michigan town hall?$8.40Sep 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during his Michigan town hall?$14.00Sep 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Uniondale rally?$21.60Sep 17, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $24.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".