0xf789f9cb2a66f30fd9ee55e07a2ff25492051d87
0xf789f9cb2a66f30fd9ee55e07a2ff25492051d87
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-146.02
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26947 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Nicolás González: 1+ goals
610 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
273 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
270 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
205 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-59.17
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
182 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.90Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.97Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$633.55Jul 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$112.34Jul 18, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$103.84Jul 18, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$60.44Jul 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$450.14Jul 18, 21:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.98Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target AND Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target AND Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target$100.00Jul 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás González: 1+ goals$26.20Jul 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 2+ goals$99.99Jul 15, 12:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$200.53Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$102.81Jul 14, 19:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina leading at halftime?$153.85Jul 12, 04:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $115.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.