Gregarious-Eyeliner
0xf78e72e5672ab639df8134261789aab23f27e385
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-131.46
Realised
$-12.93
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
2 or more Vance vs. Walz debates before election?
288 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-28.74
- YES
Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-4.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
34 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
27 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-13.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
25 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-13.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
14 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$13.44Oct 19, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$13.44Oct 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$16.08Oct 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$16.08Oct 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$15.43Oct 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$15.42Oct 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$13.80Oct 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.46Oct 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.64Oct 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$22.91Oct 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$22.22Oct 18, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Oct 18, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$20.00Oct 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$19.60Oct 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$7.17Oct 18, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$9.90Oct 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.00Oct 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$8.13Oct 18, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$2.50Oct 17, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Oct 17, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".