Flamboyant-Outside
0xf78fba5419db5f44633170b90196767ae4bc36e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-781.45
Realised
$-82.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
1266 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-633.12
- YES
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
327 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-55.58
- YES
Will France win?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the match be a draw?
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the match be a draw?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2024$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the match be a draw?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2024$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on January 24?$633.12Jan 24, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $3,400 on January 24?$633.12Jan 24, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on January 24?$715.33Jan 24, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$715.33Jan 24, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$476.89Jan 24, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $215 on January 24?$434.40Jan 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $215 on January 24?$18.19Jan 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $215 on January 24?$24.29Jan 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $215 on January 24?$462.54Jan 23, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$0.99Dec 10, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$0.98Dec 10, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$0.56Dec 6, 02:34 UTC
- REWARD$0.57Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden wins the Popular Vote?$55.58Jul 18, 09:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.48Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$48.23Jul 15, 01:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.28Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $135 on July 12?$5.00Jul 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$142.34Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.59Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $125.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".