Bountiful-Trap
0xf790f52ef3d5c2fe7aba880c11dd09a031ee0192
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 11?
47 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-23.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?
45 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?
43 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.50
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 Week of June 22 2026?
42 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?
42 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 18?$8.47Jul 19, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 18?$8.19Jul 17, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on July 10?$5.80Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on July 10?$5.72Jul 9, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 1?$15.42Jul 1, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 1?$15.29Jun 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 Week of June 22 2026?$41.12Jun 24, 01:21 UTC
- SPLITWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 Week of June 22 2026?$42.00Jun 24, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 17?$13.38Jun 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 17?$13.19Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Australia (-2.5)$18.00Jun 16, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Australia (-2.5)$17.83Jun 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?$9.34May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?$9.19May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?$11.88May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?$10.45May 28, 00:38 UTC
- SPLITWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?$43.00May 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?$10.39May 19, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?$11.70May 19, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?$11.25May 19, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $179.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.