0xf7946f1f578ffbdaedfc8a01bc16edc2699d4f59
0xf7946f1f578ffbdaedfc8a01bc16edc2699d4f59
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$19.51
Total PnL
$-206.74
Realised
$-5.92
Win rate
0%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 16?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 17?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 16?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.24
$-0.76
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 24?
52 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 13?
8 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 31?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 17?$5.07Aug 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?$5.08Aug 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 16?$5.07Aug 16, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 15?$6.94Aug 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 16?$5.08Aug 16, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 15?$7.11Aug 16, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 14?$7.14Aug 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 15?$5.09Aug 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 15?$5.07Aug 15, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 14?$6.94Aug 15, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?$6.94Aug 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?$5.09Aug 15, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 15?$5.07Aug 15, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 13?$6.94Aug 14, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 13?$8.06Aug 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 14?$5.07Aug 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?$5.07Aug 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 14?$5.09Aug 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 14?$5.07Aug 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 13?$5.09Aug 13, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
41 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.