Granular-Nationality
0xf794b68e97c230de47880a74611e826ae05aaba2
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$116.44
Total PnL
$-66.65
Realised
$34.99
Win rate
76%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
45 shares @ 68.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$33.75
$3.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?
34 shares @ 77.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$25.71
$-0.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?
15 shares @ 54.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$12.38
$4.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
45 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$11.25
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
15 shares @ 79.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.80
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.97
$3.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
45 shares @ 21.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$8.78
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?
15 shares @ 36.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.63
$-2.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?
15 shares @ 18.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.13
$-1.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?
15 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.04
$-4.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?$3.00Jun 22, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$0.64Jun 22, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$0.31Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$0.14Jun 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$1.10Jun 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$1.10Jun 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$1.15Jun 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$1.15Jun 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$1.15Jun 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.30Jun 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.30Jun 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.30Jun 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.40Jun 22, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.40Jun 22, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.40Jun 22, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$3.50Jun 22, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$0.97Jun 22, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$2.53Jun 22, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$1.09Jun 22, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$2.41Jun 22, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.