Sweltering-Salary
0xf7a03d8a743ce515c1722dd9f1b0953f2f21a4dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.94
Total PnL
$5.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7 shares @ 73.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.78
$1.78
- YES
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.41
$3.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Princeton" 5+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?$0.00Jul 11, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jul 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$5.00Jul 11, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 25, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00May 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Princeton" 5+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?$2.00May 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00Mar 3, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Mar 3, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.32Mar 3, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.00Feb 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2.00Feb 11, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$2.18Feb 11, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEM Sean Duffy confirmed as Secretary of Transportation?$5.38Feb 11, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$2.00Jan 21, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.05Jan 21, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden resign before inauguration?$5.26Jan 21, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$0.00Jan 9, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$2.50Jan 9, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$2.00Dec 21, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY Sean Duffy confirmed as Secretary of Transportation?$5.00Nov 23, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.