Worrisome-Repeat
0xf7a893954025612c837587d9ac43f25958cedb62
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.83
Total PnL
$-839.92
Realised
$46.04
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.70
$-3.10
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.69
$-3.91
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $350M and $400M at market close on IPO day?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.54
$-1.06
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $300M and $350M at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.40
$-1.80
- MUMBAI INDIANS
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals
319 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-179.74
- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
198 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-64.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
164 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-78.81
- YES
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?
161 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-60.17
- O 1.5
Will Titan Esports Club Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2
142 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-55.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?$3.80Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $350M and $400M at market close on IPO day?$1.60Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- REWARD$23.77Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $300M and $350M at market close on IPO day?$2.20Jul 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?$4.60Jul 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLRipCars FDV above $1.5M one day after launch?$2.86Jul 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipCars FDV above $1.5M one day after launch?$3.25Jul 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FunPlus Phoenix Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$19.80Jul 23, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$25.00Jul 17, 14:47 UTC
- REWARD$7.10Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan Esports Club Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$5.73Jul 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan Esports Club Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$1.74Jul 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$4.57Jul 14, 07:01 UTC
- REWARD$16.35Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$1.96Jul 11, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$1.96Jul 11, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$6.00Jul 11, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan Esports Club Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$2.10Jul 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FunPlus Phoenix Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$9.80Jul 11, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.