Experienced-Assertion
0xf7a96121834296b21425edcacd82cf0449162da6
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$116.55
Total PnL
$0.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$30.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
25 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.16
$-0.04
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.00
$0.09
- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
22 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.38
$0.75
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$20.00
$0.22
- YES
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?
480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$23.20Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$19.78Feb 4, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.59Feb 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.59Feb 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?$21.91Feb 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$29.88Feb 4, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$20.64Feb 4, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?$17.00Feb 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$0.17Oct 4, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$0.03Oct 4, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?$16.81Oct 4, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?$0.48Mar 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?$49.80Mar 4, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$24.81Mar 4, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$5.30Mar 4, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$10.13Mar 4, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$40.50Mar 4, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?$49.85Mar 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$40.54Mar 3, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$40.29Mar 3, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $17.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".