Well-Worn-Dysfunction
0xf7ae0910f20b2d72e211ddff1a5adfc934278a6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$22.95
Total PnL
$3.08
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?
21 shares @ 51.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$20.95
$10.15
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2025?
140 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-09-17?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
4 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
4 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
2 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
USDT depeg in 2025?
2 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?$5.00Oct 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?$5.00Oct 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Guadalajara win on 2025-09-17?$1.00Sep 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?$3.95Sep 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?$5.00Sep 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?$4.61Sep 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?$5.00Sep 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$5.00Sep 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$0.08Sep 15, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO in 2025?$0.05Sep 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$0.20Sep 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$0.08Sep 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.28Sep 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?$0.08Sep 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.02Sep 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.01Sep 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.02Sep 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.04Sep 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Sep 15, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.01Sep 15, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 4, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".