0xf7b173ed0a7634a3fbb34a19edb073a9b0c91519
0xf7b173ed0a7634a3fbb34a19edb073a9b0c91519
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$28.53
Total PnL
$7.72
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$6.03
$3.74
- NO
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$4.24
$1.95
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of August 10 2026?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$3.52
$1.23
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.25
$0.96
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 10 2026?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$3.01
$0.72
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.93
$0.64
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.78
$0.49
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.76
$0.47
- NO
Will Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$2.35Aug 12, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?$2.33Aug 12, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?$2.33Aug 12, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?$2.35Aug 11, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?$3.18Aug 11, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?$2.32Aug 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?$2.31Aug 11, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?$1.17Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 10, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.29Aug 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of August 10 2026?$2.32Aug 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 10 2026?$2.31Aug 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$2.29Aug 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.29Aug 9, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.35Aug 8, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.