Reflecting-Patient
0xf7b2944d43c0f6472dd3bfcfa25fb0847b80e6f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.34
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$1.76
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
56 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.03
$-5.27
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
13927 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-448.47
- NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?
5331 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-245.19
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?
2233 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-152.32
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$20.00Feb 5, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$20.00Feb 5, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$20.00Feb 5, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$1.08Feb 5, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$10.00Feb 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$30.00Feb 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$20.00Feb 5, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$3.00Feb 5, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$45.00Feb 5, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$1.05Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?$1.06Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$79.86Feb 2, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$79.86Feb 2, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$68.63Feb 1, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$90.00Feb 1, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$300.00Feb 1, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$458.62Feb 1, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$399.29Feb 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $74.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 18:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".