Fluid-Invasion
0xf7b6773c003d6f1f8982ac78fa934548ab880d76
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$40.77
Total PnL
$-727.59
Realised
$5.63
Win rate
66%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?
20 shares @ 45.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$8.90
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$7.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?
13 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$7.08
$1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 9?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$4.35
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?
10 shares @ 36.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$3.45
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?
13 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$3.38
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?
40 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$3.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?
13 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$2.40
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 9?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.80
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?
380 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?$0.04Jul 9, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?$4.01Jul 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?$1.78Jul 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?$3.34Jul 9, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?$0.80Jul 9, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?$0.98Jul 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?$5.20Jul 9, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?$4.09Jul 9, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 9?$0.83Jul 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?$3.78Jul 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?$2.44Jul 9, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?$3.37Jul 9, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?$6.01Jul 9, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?$10.00Jul 8, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?$1.25Jul 8, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?$0.73Jul 8, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?$3.30Jul 8, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?$1.98Jul 8, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?$1.38Jul 8, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
66% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.