Honorable-Campus
0xf7b6b54d7103f96497d7b96720b1e94073c79206
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-244.87
Win rate
6%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
975 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
439 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-144.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
416 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
316 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-66.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
273 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.04
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
233 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
232 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
197 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-28.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.99Jul 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.40Jul 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.59Jul 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.83Jul 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.25Jul 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jul 1, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$36.07Jul 1, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$10.09Jul 1, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.02Jul 1, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$5.08Jul 1, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$5.08Jul 1, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.16Jun 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.07Jun 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.51Jun 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.08Jun 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.18Jun 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.19Jun 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.07Jun 30, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.07Jun 30, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
31 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.