Actual-Resort
0xf7c2491f877e7ca1bf394ce7af62243b87ccd53d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-99.04
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?
1402 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-704.27
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on May 13?
1055 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?
967 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-553.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
451 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-271.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
269 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-26.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
249 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
206 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-102.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?
158 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-99.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?
158 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-99.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$61.36Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?$53.46Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$55.55Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?$72.95Jun 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?$60.51Jun 1, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$50.61May 31, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$62.57May 30, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?$65.01May 30, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?$90.71May 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$52.12May 30, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$48.31May 30, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$50.24May 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?$48.58May 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?$51.51May 29, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?$53.26May 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 28?$81.73May 28, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?$74.03May 28, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?$68.43May 28, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 27?$195.33May 28, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 27?$51.22May 28, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $37.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.