Several-Efficiency
0xf7c68b354c3771c36d985a2daf030e8020e826d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.89
Total PnL
$-58.81
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.96
$0.25
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?
5336 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-18.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 21?
4322 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.32
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?
2090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?
2075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?
2069 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?
2063 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?
2061 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$12.13Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$12.11Jul 24, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$11.15Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$11.11Jul 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.50Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.04Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.04Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.04Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.03Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$0.05Jul 2, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.47Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.17Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.46Jun 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.15Jun 20, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.