Mammoth-Sole
0xf7ce17fbb97617dc00fb2a2f53872b5548c3d337
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.65
Total PnL
$-54.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" at The Villages on May 1?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.52
$-0.48
- NO
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)
10 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Great Shape" this week? (January 25)
6 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will "ICE" be said at the Grammys?
6 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Enemy" 3+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$7.551h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" at The Villages on May 1?$3.0423h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?$3.0423h ago
- REDEEMWill King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?$11.112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?$4.103d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?$3.355d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$2.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$2.005d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drone" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.955d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?$7.235d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?$4.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drone" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.007d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" during healthcare event?$11.537d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Research and development" or "R&D" during healthcare event?$0.048d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Research and development" or "R&D" during healthcare event?$2.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" during healthcare event?$6.008d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sweet" or "Crude" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$7.709d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sweet" or "Crude" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$5.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Christian" during TPUSA events on April 17?$2.5017d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump's remarks not air?$8.3317d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 86d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".