Eager-Sanction
0xf7d486023576ac212ff7376508d0252de5ced004
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-267.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 6?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 5?
147 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 5?
38 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 6?
30 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$1.05May 3, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 29?$5.88May 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 29?$1.04Apr 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 21?$0.94Apr 20, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 21?$1.01Apr 20, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 19?$1.34Apr 20, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?$0.85Apr 20, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?$1.01Apr 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 20?$0.60Apr 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 20?$0.96Apr 19, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?$1.64Apr 19, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17?$2.76Apr 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?$0.09Apr 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?$0.40Apr 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?$0.29Apr 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?$0.09Apr 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 20?$0.09Apr 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?$1.00Apr 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 19?$0.51Apr 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 19?$0.50Apr 18, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.