Discrete-Sip
0xf7deab88f08d23f3088f123c89f171bba6f710c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.61
Total PnL
$-13.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.36
$-0.04
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
260 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.95
$0.65
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.40
$-0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?$2.40Jul 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?$2.00Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?$1.40Jul 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.60Jul 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.30Jul 5, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$15.05Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$6.01Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$4.81Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15.23Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?$25.78Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15.20Jun 30, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$15.00Jun 29, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?$25.70Jun 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$6.00Jun 27, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$4.80Jun 27, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$41.41Jun 1, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $30 in May?$7.02Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00May 31, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.01May 31, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.03May 31, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.