Poor-Band
0xf7defb5af0777776a74950dc9abb1ffa6b7f775a
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$13.70
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-833.30
Win rate
0%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.04
$0.04
- MARIANNE ARGYROKASTRITI
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Marianne Argyrokastriti
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.29
$0.17
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$0.07
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.60
- PELICANS
Celtics vs. Pelicans
29 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-16.17
- HURRICANES
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
13 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.54
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
13 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
10 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-7.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$1.57Jul 10, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.18Jul 4, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$1.41Jun 19, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Marianne Argyrokastriti$1.12Jun 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs$1.21Jun 18, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$1.07Jun 6, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMITF Harmon: Hiromasa Koyama vs Adrian Arcon$1.11Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMITF Luan: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Tsung Hao Huang$1.16Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Ko Suzuki$1.29Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney$1.43Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMITF Luan: Qian Sun vs Xiaoyin Yang$1.53Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMFoggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dang$1.56Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMPortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries$1.64Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan$1.66Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMLas Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks$1.76Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen$1.78Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$1.92Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.95Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves$1.97Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMITF Harmon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Seiya Nakanishi$2.00Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 01:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.