Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.0K

Realised

$-527.64

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 21

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
2045 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
913 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025
$0.00
$-499.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
452 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025
$0.00
$-239.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
296 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025
$0.00
$-150.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
256 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025
$0.00
$-128.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
206 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025
$0.00
$-105.01
UP
Solana Up or Down - November 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
73 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025
$0.00
$-37.60
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
57 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.0KDec 12, 16:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.0KDec 12, 16:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.2KDec 12, 16:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$487.50Dec 12, 16:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$487.23Dec 12, 16:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.2KDec 12, 15:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$499.00Dec 12, 15:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.0KNov 28, 16:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$528.00Nov 28, 16:25 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$100.35Nov 28, 16:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$599.70Nov 28, 16:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$25.39Nov 28, 07:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$300.00Nov 28, 07:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$128.00Nov 28, 06:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$927.45Nov 28, 06:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$473.00Nov 28, 05:58 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$12.04Nov 28, 05:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$7.00Nov 28, 05:52 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$55.12Nov 28, 05:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$300.00Nov 28, 05:44 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $231.77
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 25, 17:04 UTC
Last active: Dec 12, 16:28 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:28:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data