Blond-Shot
0xf7e4575379f4e99ad55b49cc5053579bd314a283
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$109.29
Total PnL
$-9.49
Realised
$-12.78
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
85 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$84.54
$2.54
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of July?
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $94 Week of July 13 2026?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$12.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$82.12Jul 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of July?$12.02Jul 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $94 Week of July 13 2026?$12.00Jul 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$31.67Jul 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$32.24Jul 16, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$13.42Jul 16, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$28.96Jul 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$31.67Jun 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$28.06Jun 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$13.02Jun 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$32.35Jun 11, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$17.05Jun 11, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$23.59Jun 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$23.50May 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$17.00May 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$40.58May 14, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$40.33Apr 9, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$32.00Apr 9, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$21.79Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of March?$23.30Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $33.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.