Trivial-Design
0xf7edd038ff2b7337ac5decefc3465146d75b9b81
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.75
Total PnL
$-32.58
Realised
$-1.06
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
21 shares @ 12.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.75
$-1.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
518 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
5 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.68Jun 30, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.07Jun 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.06Jun 23, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.06Jun 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Jun 23, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.01Jun 21, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.14Jun 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.01Jun 21, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.11Jun 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.01Jun 21, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.19Jun 21, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.01Jun 21, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.06Jun 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Jun 21, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.02Jun 21, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Jun 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.01Jun 21, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.