Squeaky-Pard
0xf7f6b41805f66da330779c141b3a12dc6b35696a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-307.06
Realised
$-16.15
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- MEXICO
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)
2200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
1110 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
388 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?
364 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
307 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$78.88Jul 18, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?$10.89Jul 14, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?$5.44Jul 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$5.44Jul 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?$2.18Jul 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?$2.18Jul 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?$2.18Jul 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?$5.43Jul 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?$1.09Jul 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?$3.27Jul 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$5.44Jul 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?$4.36Jul 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?$3.27Jul 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.01Jul 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?$4.28Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?$1.07Jul 9, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?$1.07Jul 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?$2.14Jul 9, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?$1.07Jul 9, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?$2.14Jul 9, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.