0xf7faad6e845bb004da4d8d04a591ec3dfa376cb8
0xf7faad6e845bb004da4d8d04a591ec3dfa376cb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-74.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on March 16?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on March 16?
399 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 16?
360 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on March 16?
319 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 9?
229 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 15?
169 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on March 16?
151 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 9?
148 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
143 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?
133 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?$2.99Mar 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?$2.40Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on March 16?$1.80Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on March 16?$1.54Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on March 16?$2.52Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 15?$3.08Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?$3.00Mar 14, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 16?$1.40Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?$2.35Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on March 16?$3.20Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on March 16?$1.98Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 15?$2.64Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on March 16?$1.20Mar 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?$3.20Mar 14, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.