Fat-Surrounds
0xf7fb13fb5634930e94a46d2927462f206cfba76e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.02
Total PnL
$-0.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
2 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1 shares @ 79.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (September 22-28)
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?$1.00Sep 26, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$0.89Sep 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$1.00Sep 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Yemen by September 30?$1.30Sep 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$1.37Sep 23, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Sep 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 22, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$1.00Sep 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (September 22-28)$1.00Sep 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?$0.98Sep 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$1.00Sep 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$0.95Sep 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$0.99Sep 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.00Sep 21, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$0.99Sep 21, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?$1.00Sep 21, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$1.00Sep 20, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.00Sep 20, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $77.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 26, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".