Awkward-Clip
0xf7fe63888aed0f98540c959b392a858dfa741e42
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$24.67
Total PnL
$-566.13
Realised
$73.76
Win rate
100%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 77.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.45
$2.25
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 11.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.20
$3.90
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
30 shares @ 0.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.14
$1.01
- YES
Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
30 shares @ 5.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.87
$-0.86
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah play in Scottish Premiership next?
25 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.01
$-0.26
- NO
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
239 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.31
- YES
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
149 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.23
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $158?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 20?
100 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-28.40
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by December 31?
98 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
78 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.