Far-Off-Attention
0xf802e2ce640ebca5e43c8d29e2688a4820561030
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.01
Total PnL
$-19.85
Realised
$3.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
14 shares @ 13.8¢·now 12.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by August 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.60
- AMAURY RAYNEL
ITF Strasbourg: Theo Papamalamis vs Amaury Raynel
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.6¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?
222 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.89
$-2.11
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by August 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will FK Rodina Moskva win on 2026-07-31?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- WIDZEW LODZ
Spread: Widzew Lodz (-2.5)
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.03
$-2.98
- ALEXANDRE MULLER
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak
10 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.01
$-3.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSan Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak$8.98Jul 31, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.09Jul 31, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.05Jul 31, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by August 31, 2026?$2.10Jul 31, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by August 31, 2026?$2.10Jul 31, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak$5.17Jul 31, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak$5.03Jul 31, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak$4.11Jul 31, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak$4.09Jul 31, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov$3.10Jul 31, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Strasbourg: Theo Papamalamis vs Amaury Raynel$2.08Jul 31, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Widzew Lodz (-2.5)$3.14Jul 31, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$7.79Jul 31, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLiberec: Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbausch$22.48Jul 31, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan$10.85Jul 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan$5.13Jul 31, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbausch$5.19Jul 31, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$7.64Jul 31, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Rodina Moskva win on 2026-07-31?$4.14Jul 31, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-31?$6.96Jul 31, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.