Difficult-Purchase
0xf807bf2f9de09f9562009575ca77d67cafe9c5dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$79.64
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
2222 shares @ 54.7¢·now 38.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$851.95
$-363.76
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
2918 shares @ 53.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$773.26
$-781.22
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5147 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$584.17
$38.57
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2593 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$426.53
$9.08
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$-0.02
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 26.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-0.25
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
15000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
5987 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-294.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$200.50Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$559.21Jun 13, 10:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.7KJun 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$494.76Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$500.00Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$993.35Jun 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jun 12, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$426.94Jun 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$427.58Jun 12, 09:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.84Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$479.55Jun 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$428.15Jun 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$258.83Jun 11, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$349.92Jun 11, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$7.95Jun 11, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$8.28Jun 11, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$15.54Jun 11, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-4.5)$454.07Jun 11, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $244.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.