Wry-Burial
0xf811ef0712a03925ce67ae2af5318cfeb86b1792
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$24.0K
Total PnL
$-381.5K
Realised
$-6.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
504783 shares @ 25.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.0K
$-103.9K
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
2537382 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-210.6K
- YES
Xi Jinping out before October?
402410 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.4K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
98797 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.5K
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
80200 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.2K
- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
48000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
32000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.2K
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
27142 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
16000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-640.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.12Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.16Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.20Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.18Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.23Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.21Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.24Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.23Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.30Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.22Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.20Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.18Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.19Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$2.21Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.25Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.38Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.29Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.49Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.20Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.