Knobby-University
0xf8151149e3ecf67273a34fa4e2dfa7ba1bf59a32
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$346.76
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
347 shares @ 59.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$346.76
$141.13
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214
4165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
4057 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3329 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 0-1.0%?
3044 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
2681 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
1920 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?
1743 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?
1685 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
1568 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$630.87Nov 5, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$75.00Nov 5, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$75.00Nov 5, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$75.00Nov 5, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$75.00Nov 5, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$75.00Nov 5, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$50.00Nov 5, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$50.00Nov 5, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$50.00Nov 5, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$75.00Nov 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214$75.00Nov 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$150.00Nov 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$205.63Nov 4, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$40.00Nov 4, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$50.00Nov 4, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$50.00Nov 4, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214$50.00Nov 4, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 0-1.0%? $100.00Nov 4, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$50.00Nov 4, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$50.00Nov 4, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $116.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".