Practical-Compulsion
0xf817831737a44f1e748fd40415e718928d7c110a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-476.99
Realised
$-33.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
5176 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-135.45
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
754 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
474 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.54
- NO
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
385 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?
336 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-66.44
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
282 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.91
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
163 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.37Mar 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$9.37Mar 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.00Mar 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$8.54Mar 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$15.00Mar 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$34.80Mar 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$14.99Mar 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$10.00Mar 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$15.00Mar 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$17.06Mar 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$29.96Mar 3, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.00Mar 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 3, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.00Mar 3, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$22.00Mar 3, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$81.97Mar 2, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$16.91Mar 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$50.00Mar 1, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $21.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.