Belated-Min
0xf818472aa0816804b682cda11d1d2a9817494590
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.37
Total PnL
$-32.66
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- MARCOS GIRON
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
15 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.01
- JETS
Jets vs. Patriots
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Senators
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Honduras win on 2025-11-13?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CAVALIERS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DUCKS
Ducks vs. Red Wings
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CELTICS
Nets vs. Celtics
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?$1.01Aug 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron$1.01Jun 30, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$1.00Jun 30, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMVicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lautaro Midon$1.35Jun 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$1.00May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$1.01May 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYVicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lautaro Midon$1.01May 28, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?$2.00May 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?$2.00Apr 24, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$2.30Apr 24, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$26.42Apr 24, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$1.29Mar 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$26.00Mar 9, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$27.30Mar 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$27.16Feb 16, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy (BO3)$1.37Feb 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy (BO3)$1.00Jan 9, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?$25.02Jan 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?$25.00Dec 21, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Wild$1.41Dec 21, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.