Clear-Cut-Ivory
0xf8192695b44af78c7b3b4b6e58899cd28f19b956
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-77.20
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DUCKS
Flames vs. Ducks
1800 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 2?
429 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
233 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-64.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 2?
132 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-92.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
100 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-93.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?
100 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 2?
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 2?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?
57 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5 AND Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)$244.59Aug 2, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5) AND Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)$258.41Aug 2, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMFC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5 AND Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu$239.18Aug 2, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5 AND Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)$200.00Aug 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5) AND Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)$200.00Aug 1, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMLos Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov$98.04Jul 28, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMKouame vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$100.00Jul 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5 AND Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu$200.00Jul 28, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov$102.45Jul 28, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKouame vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$102.50Jul 28, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt AND Vancouver: Teah Chavez vs Nao Hibino$100.00Jul 28, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces$5.09Jun 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$5.10Jun 21, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 15?$99.97Jun 16, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?$100.00Jun 16, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 15?$79.39Jun 16, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 15?$100.00Jun 16, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?$100.00Jun 16, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?$100.00Jun 15, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?$66.86Jun 15, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $61.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.