Elated-Jumbo
0xf81e6110bb764389873fb0d5e5da1891f6596374
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$65.38
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
129 shares @ 50.8¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$65.38
$-0.08
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
17000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
14458 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-731.98
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
9392 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-453.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4362 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-143.75
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
4190 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-140.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
540 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$67.07Jun 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$143.75Mar 17, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$16.99Mar 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$10.00Mar 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$7.87Mar 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$20.73Mar 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.00Mar 13, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.70Mar 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.00Mar 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.00Mar 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$72.76Mar 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $54.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".