0xf81eb4ad8292e791c3fa6c8dc83666bc4dd924a8
0xf81eb4ad8292e791c3fa6c8dc83666bc4dd924a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-836.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?
900 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET
450 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?
345 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-169.05
- YES
XRP above $2.50 on May 16?
290 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-203.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 18?
215 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$0.00
$-68.80
- YES
Will Michael Saylor say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?
210 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-126.00
- FLETCHER
Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán Loughran
35 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-19.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
10 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 8th seed in the NBA 2025 Eastern Conference Play-in Tournament?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
- CHARRIERE
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$92.50Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$132.50Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win between 41% and 44% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?$225.00Jun 2, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?$2.85May 20, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?$3.25May 19, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$2.30May 19, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?$3.05May 19, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?$5.00May 19, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?$1.20May 14, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $2.50 on May 16?$94.50May 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $2.50 on May 16?$108.50May 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?$0.02May 12, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oz" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?$2.13May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.15May 11, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.10May 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dortmund beat Leverkusen?$3.05May 11, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$5.00May 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$1.25May 10, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?$151.90Apr 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?$17.15Apr 30, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".