Showy-Toffee
0xf81fffe6d8347a8f1de6304c50d68d0815404372
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$809.83
Total PnL
$-102.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
710 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$709.83
$2.84
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 15?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$100.00
$0.10
- YES
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
34379 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.38
- YES
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
20739 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$706.99Feb 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $50 on February 15?$99.90Feb 14, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $80 on January 31?$94.90Feb 14, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 31?$100.00Feb 14, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$100.00Feb 14, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 31?$100.00Feb 14, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$100.00Feb 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $80 on January 31?$94.71Jan 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$99.90Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$99.90Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?$9.98Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 31?$99.80Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 31?$99.90Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 15?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 15?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 15?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 13?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on December 15?$5.00Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $118.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".