Impish-Professor
0xf823e2b90a804026f74d39f3f7b1b4ee7bdf5a6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$101.91
Total PnL
$-717.06
Realised
$-31.62
Win rate
3%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?
76 shares @ 33.3¢·now 33.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$25.32
$0.11
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
38 shares @ 52.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.33
$0.70
- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 80.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.99
$0.99
- NO
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
17 shares @ 49.8¢·now 56.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.54
$1.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.97
$0.97
- NO
Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?
4 shares @ 84.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?$4.41Aug 16, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$3.00Aug 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?$3.00Aug 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?$1.08Aug 13, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$3.00Aug 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?$1.40Aug 13, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?$3.00Aug 13, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$3.00Aug 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$3.00Aug 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$3.00Aug 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$1.63Aug 12, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$3.00Aug 12, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$3.00Aug 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$3.00Aug 10, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$3.00Aug 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$3.00Aug 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$3.00Aug 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$3.00Aug 9, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$1.21Aug 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$3.00Aug 9, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
35 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.