Sick-Wetbar
0xf829a533661ba2795111870dc2011af78458bf82
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-882.71
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
3500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?
1096 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118K on August 22?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5200 August 18–24?
524 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
424 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
375 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?
330 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
267 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$50.00Feb 6, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?$4.00Jan 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$2.00Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$3.00Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$3.00Jan 6, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$2.00Jan 6, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".