Political-Housing
0xf82a3b4dba646b8004b35194067968437ec90c83
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-74.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
320 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.13
$0.13
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
4119 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- KURTIS CAMPBELL
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)
2900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- EX-RUBY
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs K27 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
58 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DERRICK LEWIS
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$8.23Jun 15, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$47.62Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.24Jun 15, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$10.24Jun 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.21May 9, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.00May 9, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00May 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.35May 9, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.18May 9, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.18May 9, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$20.99May 9, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.16May 9, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.47May 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)$2.90Mar 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs K27 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$3.00Mar 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-21?$4.00Mar 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$19.02Mar 20, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers$4.00Mar 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$4.00Mar 20, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?$3.00Mar 20, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.