Close-Portion
0xf82aad50d45458aba1f044078f6dd1701c717c35
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$78.04
Total PnL
$-74.79
Realised
$8.89
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.90
$6.90
- NO
Will Mikel Merino score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.82
$0.46
- NO
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
13 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.46
$0.06
- NO
Will Sweden be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$7.47
$0.61
- NO
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$5.50
$-30.00
- YES
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$4.78
$-1.36
- YES
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.23
$-0.07
- NO
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.48
$-0.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
200 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.80
$-14.40
Recent activity
- MERGEBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?$20.00Jun 14, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$0.20Jun 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$0.21Jun 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?$9.35Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- MERGEBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?$20.00Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?$9.35Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?$16.80Jun 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?$11.20Jun 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$35.50Jun 14, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$17.30Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- MERGEPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$16.69Jun 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$13.95Jun 14, 05:38 UTC
- MERGEInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$16.88Jun 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$12.56Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.80Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.73Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.87Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$5.70Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Ndoye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.45Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- REWARD$7.11Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.