0xf82b937d4e4c5de454049d325897f2ac77778e81
0xf82b937d4e4c5de454049d325897f2ac77778e81
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$4.74
Total PnL
$-652.86
Realised
$-5.12
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
30 shares @ 14.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.42
$-0.79
- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10PM ET
12046 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-17.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7PM ET
6012 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4PM ET
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 11?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 16?$4.36Feb 20, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 16?$17.54Feb 20, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 15?$5.00Feb 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 15?$5.74Feb 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 15?$6.00Feb 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 15?$6.30Feb 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 15?$7.79Feb 16, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 15?$8.15Feb 16, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 15?$8.31Feb 16, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?$10.19Feb 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on February 16?$18.98Feb 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 16?$0.08Feb 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 15?$5.72Feb 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 16?$9.15Feb 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 15?$10.79Feb 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 16?$7.55Feb 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 16?$10.44Feb 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?$15.12Feb 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 15?$20.52Feb 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 16?$3.10Feb 15, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".