Flawed-Trillion-Latter
0xf8319cca4ad4c241aa9c2315d1462d9cab8fdfa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$105.32
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$73.67
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$20.91
$0.91
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$14.37
$-0.62
- OVER
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- OVER
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.79
$-0.21
- YES
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.47
$-0.53
- OVER
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5
60 shares @ 16.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.35
$-0.65
- OVER
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?
140 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.30
$-0.70
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.59
$-1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?$5.13Jun 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?$10.27Jun 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.99Jun 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.22Jun 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$89.98Jun 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.28Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jun 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jun 18, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.