Favorable-Ammunition
0xf8338cd629181cf92898c123a2cf155b2fb30ee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.05
Total PnL
$-6.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?
6 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?$1.00Dec 24, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?$1.00Dec 24, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$10.29Dec 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$162.00Dec 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?$5.00Mar 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$1.00Feb 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica win on 2025-02-18?$1.00Feb 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?$1.00Feb 18, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWas Trump hacked?$1.08Jan 21, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$202.84Jan 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$49.55Jan 18, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$50.00Jan 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$200.00Jan 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Trump hacked?$1.00Jan 18, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $32.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".