Warlike-Feast
0xf836ab853330c1d354cae27b98a68969214b5358
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$214.11
Total PnL
$-62.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$214.11
$14.11
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?
103 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
87 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$200.00May 26, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$26.99Jan 7, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?$50.00Aug 25, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$76.99Jul 25, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$74.92Jul 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$69.97Jun 17, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?$0.00Jun 5, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?$143.00May 21, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$0.00May 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?$147.95May 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$125.47May 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?$100.00May 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$225.47Apr 29, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$127.93Mar 23, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.03Feb 26, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$10.59Feb 26, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$112.32Feb 26, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$4.85Feb 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$100.00Feb 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$95.00Feb 15, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $94.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.